Despite North Carolina losing to a Cooper Flagg-less Duke in the ACC Tournament semifinals, ESPN bracketologist Joe Lunardi still has the Tar Heels in the Field of 68 in his latest Bracketology update. Just barely -- as the last of the “Last Four In” while Lunardi has Texas among the “First Four Out.”

Joe Lunardi of ESPN has updated his bracketology projections just hours before the NCAA Tournament Selection Show.

According to ESPN's Basketball Power Index, Duke has the best chance to win the national title with a 28.5% forecast, Houston is next with 20.6% followed by Auburn at 13.6%. Duke has a 56% chance to make it to the Final Four compared to Auburn's 41.6% chance.

With Boise State’s victory over San Diego State on Friday, the NCAA tournament bubble got much more interesting. That win came after both Texas and North Carolina lost, and ESPN’s Joe Lunardi projected the Tar Heels to be in over the Longhorns in his up-to-date Bracketology.

Joe Lunardi, ESPN's bracketology expert, has updated his NCAA Tournament projections ahead of Day 2 in Nashville.

"Auburn has locked up the No. 1 overall seed regardless of further results,” Lunardi said in his latest report. Auburn currently ranks No. 2 in the NCAA NET rankings, but has 16 Quad I wins, three more than Michigan State, who has the next most. Duke, who is No. 1 in the NET, has eight Quad I wins.

The Coloradoan asked ESPN bracketology guru Joe Lunardi about Colorado State's path to the NCAA Tournament. Here's what Lunardi said.

With ACC Tournament play already impacting NCAA Tournament projections, Duke's biggest rival might make enough waves to crack the tournament.